Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.032314 13.827441 15.749468 17.954789 20.409350 23.051505 26.104655
2025-08-03 9.185158 11.525227 14.209262 17.494027 21.382669 25.815878 31.227212
2025-08-10 7.479766 10.051497 13.161620 17.156659 22.105105 27.983912 35.441953
2025-08-17 6.238307 8.902650 12.276008 16.791200 22.599191 29.736542 39.078049
2025-08-24 5.299211 7.990421 11.542336 16.473989 23.031257 31.328509 42.481195
2025-08-31 4.478421 7.120801 10.749301 15.963782 23.113060 32.404657 45.198465
2025-09-07 3.993371 6.656451 10.443357 16.050728 23.943606 34.437013 49.181063
2025-09-14 3.564181 6.218415 10.121184 16.065963 24.642184 36.286126 52.953675
2025-09-21 3.239951 5.899758 9.934265 16.241480 25.546240 38.420530 57.157826
2025-09-28 2.914392 5.539634 9.646863 16.233985 26.165526 40.160310 60.855264
2025-10-05 2.723733 5.378075 9.645452 16.643398 27.394313 42.782347 65.847769
2025-10-12 2.525212 5.179913 9.565012 16.915298 28.416429 45.129625 70.510432
2025-10-19 2.310572 4.933828 9.391324 17.034233 29.220219 47.204050 74.877746
2025-10-26 2.020607 4.516919 8.896644 16.599080 29.138688 47.961377 77.347618
2025-11-02 1.784542 4.171778 8.491896 16.276177 29.202036 48.917096 80.115417
2025-11-09 1.572394 3.846250 8.091111 15.926321 29.192206 49.744131 82.696347
2025-11-16 1.391328 3.560073 7.734521 15.622697 29.231289 50.631841 85.376490
2025-11-23 1.207944 3.243977 7.292661 15.134438 28.930388 50.964193 87.200548
2025-11-30 1.111604 3.105442 7.176021 15.217635 29.586801 52.818274 91.412453
2025-12-07 1.016930 2.958165 7.028811 15.232214 30.119973 54.483953 95.366327
2025-12-14 0.946494 2.858448 6.967573 15.400176 30.920688 56.599470 100.076197
2025-12-21 0.865684 2.722589 6.820175 15.393003 31.407850 58.210798 104.018783
2025-12-28 0.826962 2.687064 6.879153 15.784844 32.617289 61.043384 109.982626